BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutwin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Cut
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 17 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 9 games
Techies
bgod · 9 games
Clockwerk
Jubei · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Jubei · 8 games
Marcioften banned
AfrOmoush · 8 games
Necrophosoften banned
high_shaggy · 8 games
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
654 picks · 521 bans
Marci
476 picks · 708 bans
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 608 bans
Puck
428 picks · 889 bans
Winter Wyvern
344 picks · 417 bans
Zeus
291 picks · 393 bans
Death Prophet
283 picks · 474 bans
Razor
275 picks · 492 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 40%
Hero pool strength58% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct50:19
The Cut 66%5ManMidas 34%
The model gave 66% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 27:56.
Game 2prediction correct42:22
The Cut 66%5ManMidas 34%
The model gave 66% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 31:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 66%
Series resultThe Cut 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2