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BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChampwin 2:0
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Feltloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 16 games
56%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 13 games
31%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ryoya · 10 games
60%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Bloody Nine · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
83%

Felt

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 12 games
42%
Tiny
Tinysignature
AfrOmoush · 8 games
75%
Axe
Axe
Zore · 6 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 6 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 5 games
20%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
Yellow Flash · 5 games
80%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Shoe · 4 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
solji · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
654 picks · 521 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
475 picks · 708 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 607 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
428 picks · 890 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 417 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
291 picks · 391 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
282 picks · 475 bans
51%
Razor
Razor
275 picks · 492 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 25%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total54% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:25
Team DogChamp 53%Felt 47%
The model gave 53% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 40:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidStoneBank
53% · 173 games50% · 240 games
Death Prophetsolji
Death Prophet
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainRCY
52% · 274 games50% · 137 games
Wraith Kingparadise'
Wraith King
Night Stalker
Night StalkerITALIANO GANGSTA
43% · 117 games51% · 114 games
BeastmasterFayde
Beastmaster
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionBloody Nine
58% · 64 games48% · 291 game
TinyThe Warden
Tiny
Marci
Marciyarintheslayer
50% · 292 games48% · 138 games
Winter WyvernChen
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct44:24
Team DogChamp 52%Felt 48%
The model gave 52% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 30:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidStoneBank
49% · 99 games53% · 48 games
Shadow Fiendsolji
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
InvokerRCY
43% · 108 games55% · 299 games
Death ProphetFayde
Death Prophet
Underlord
UnderlordITALIANO GANGSTA
39% · 54 games55% · 199 games
Chaos Knightparadise'
Chaos Knight
Tiny
Tinyyarintheslayer
48% · 377 games51% · 229 games
MarciThe Warden
Marci
Snapfire
SnapfireBloody Nine
52% · 201 game50% · 64 games
Vengeful SpiritChen
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 54%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2