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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 1:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
HULIGANIloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 32 games
53%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 30 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 29 games
59%
Warlock
Warlock
Rein · 29 games
48%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 28 games
39%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 25 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Rein · 24 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
55%

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 42 games
48%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 38 games
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 38 games
63%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 37 games
68%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 30 games
57%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 29 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 28 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
677 picks · 843 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1139 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 686 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total60% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
1w Team 60%HULIGANI 40%
The model gave 60% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 60%
Series result1w Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1