BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Ravensloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 12 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 10 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 7 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Giant · 6 games
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 6 games
Doomoften banned
d1smar · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
653 picks · 520 bans
Marci
475 picks · 706 bans
Dawnbreaker
436 picks · 606 bans
Puck
428 picks · 890 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 417 bans
Zeus
291 picks · 391 bans
Death Prophet
282 picks · 474 bans
Razor
275 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 62%
Hero pool strength62% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:41
5RATFORCESTAFF 41%Ravens 59%
The model gave 59% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistSpeeed
MagnusDaaD-
Faceless Voiddnm
KunkkaÑengoflow KELOKE
Jakiroalbinozebra
VisageBenjaz
56% · 44 games
Doomd1smar
44% · 21 game
Vengeful SpiritCara
Game 2prediction missed57:18
5RATFORCESTAFF 41%Ravens 59%
The model gave 59% on Ravens — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 42:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Sirendnm
DawnbreakerDaaD-
Primal BeastSpeeed
PangolierÑengoflow KELOKE
Jakiroalbinozebra
VisageBenjaz
53% · 50 games
Tinyd1smar
60% · 6 games
OracleCara
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2