EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Швецияloss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Северная Македонияwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Швеция
No games played over 6 months.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
655 picks · 520 bans
Marci
473 picks · 708 bans
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 609 bans
Puck
429 picks · 890 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 417 bans
Zeus
291 picks · 390 bans
Death Prophet
283 picks · 472 bans
Razor
275 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Швеция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Северная Македония
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Швеция 36%Северная Македония 64%
The model gave 64% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Северная Македония.
Model check result
Model favoriteСеверная Македония · 64%
Series resultСеверная Македония 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1