EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Украинаwin 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Северная Македонияloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Украина
No games played over 6 months.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
656 picks · 519 bans
Marci
473 picks · 708 bans
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 609 bans
Puck
431 picks · 892 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
294 picks · 388 bans
Death Prophet
283 picks · 471 bans
Razor
276 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Украина
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Северная Македония
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Украина 43%Северная Македония 57%
The model gave 57% on Северная Македония — the game was taken by Украина.
Model check result
Model favoriteСеверная Македония · 57%
Series resultУкраина 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1