EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Северная Македонияwin 1:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Чехияloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Чехия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
657 picks · 519 bans
Marci
474 picks · 709 bans
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 611 bans
Puck
432 picks · 893 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 420 bans
Zeus
295 picks · 388 bans
Death Prophet
283 picks · 471 bans
Razor
276 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Северная Македония
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Чехия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Северная Македония 38%Чехия 62%
The model gave 62% on Чехия — the game was taken by Северная Македония.
Model check result
Model favoriteЧехия · 62%
Series resultСеверная Македония 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1