BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hokoriloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Marssignature
Fbz · 24 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 15 games
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
Rubick
Tims · 14 games
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 13 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
658 picks · 518 bans
Marci
475 picks · 708 bans
Dawnbreaker
441 picks · 611 bans
Puck
434 picks · 894 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
295 picks · 389 bans
Death Prophet
281 picks · 469 bans
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:8
BOOM Esports 69%Hokori 31%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 24:38.
Game 2prediction correct24:9
BOOM Esports 69%Hokori 31%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 69%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2