EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Румынияwin 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Польшаloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Румыния
No games played over 6 months.
Польша
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
658 picks · 518 bans
Marci
476 picks · 709 bans
Dawnbreaker
442 picks · 612 bans
Puck
435 picks · 895 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
296 picks · 390 bans
Death Prophet
281 picks · 469 bans
Razor
276 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Румыния
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Румыния
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Румыния 51%Польша 49%
The model gave 51% on Румыния — the game was taken by Румыния.
Model check result
Model favoriteРумыния · 51%
Series resultРумыния 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1