EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Румынияwin 1:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Сербияloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Румыния
No games played over 6 months.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
658 picks · 518 bans
Marci
476 picks · 707 bans
Dawnbreaker
441 picks · 612 bans
Puck
435 picks · 895 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
296 picks · 390 bans
Death Prophet
280 picks · 469 bans
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Румыния
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Сербия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Румыния 47%Сербия 53%
The model gave 53% on Сербия — the game was taken by Румыния.
Model check result
Model favoriteСербия · 53%
Series resultРумыния 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1