BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 1:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Enjoy Boysloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 31 game
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 30 games
Warlock
Rein · 29 games
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 28 games
Tusk
swedenstrong · 28 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 25 games
Jakirooften banned
Rein · 24 games
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
675 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 427 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1133 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 685 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
1w Team 93%Enjoy Boys 7%
The model gave 93% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 93%
Series result1w Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1