BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Stelswin 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Letoloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Stels
No games played over 6 months.
Leto
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
675 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 427 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1133 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 685 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Stels
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Leto
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Stels 49%Leto 51%
The model gave 51% on Leto — the game was taken by Team Stels.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeto · 51%
Series resultTeam Stels 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1