?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Anime Enjoyersloss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Sorrywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Anime Enjoyers

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Coblackk · 4 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
sunset · 2 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
sunset · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sunset · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
sunset · 1 game
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
0%

No Sorry

Bane
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 48 games
60%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 40 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
Worick · 38 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 35 games
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 32 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 29 games
59%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 27 games
44%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Kami · 24 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
660 picks · 519 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
471 picks · 705 bans
52%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
444 picks · 611 bans
46%
Puck
Puck
433 picks · 897 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 420 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
297 picks · 388 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
277 picks · 465 bans
52%
Razor
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Anime Enjoyers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:28
Anime Enjoyers 41%No Sorry 59%
The model gave 59% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 27:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc Warden
Arc WardenUlnit
43% · 3 games59% · 13 games
LycanCloud
Lycan
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksunset
48% · 104 games30% · 6 games
Shadow FiendKami
Shadow Fiend
58% · 27 games
BatriderWorick
Batrider
46% · 40 games
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
Enchantress
56% · 21 game
Marciy0nd
Marci
Game 2prediction missed31:25
Anime Enjoyers 42%No Sorry 58%
The model gave 58% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 49:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendUlnit
44% · 48 games58% · 30 games
MorphlingKami
Morphling
Rubick
Rubicksunset
44% · 114 games44% · 56 games
LinaWorick
Lina
50% · 8 games
Centaur WarrunnerCloud
Centaur Warrunner
61% · 25 games
ChenBLACKARXANGEL
Chen
63% · 43 games
Marciy0nd
Marci
Game 3prediction correct14:32
Anime Enjoyers 42%No Sorry 58%
The model gave 58% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 25:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendUlnit
54% · 40 games57% · 41 game
TerrorbladeKami
Terrorblade
Marci
Marcisunset
46% · 260 games51% · 39 games
EnigmaCloud
Enigma
54% · 20 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
45% · 151 game
Tinyy0nd
Tiny
49% · 49 games
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 64%
Series resultNo Sorry 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3