BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Death Prophetsignature
Speeed · 10 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 8 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 8 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Giant · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
red2 · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
665 picks · 520 bans
Marci
471 picks · 713 bans
Dawnbreaker
449 picks · 617 bans
Puck
439 picks · 901 bans
Winter Wyvern
344 picks · 416 bans
Zeus
298 picks · 388 bans
Razor
280 picks · 505 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 464 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 47%
Hero pool strength53% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:31
SG e-sports 42%5RATFORCESTAFF 58%
The model gave 58% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 28:35.
Game 2prediction correct20:31
SG e-sports 42%5RATFORCESTAFF 58%
The model gave 58% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 41:26.
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 58%
Accuracy by game2 of 2