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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Virtus.prowin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 29 games
38%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 28 games
39%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Se · 25 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 23 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 23 games
39%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 19 games
53%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 19 games
53%

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 35 games
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 24 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 24 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Hellscream · 18 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 17 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 16 games
38%
Muerta
Muerta
Timado · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 34%
Hero pool strength54% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:25
Inner Circle 26%Virtus.pro 74%
The model gave 74% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 50:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 74%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1