BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TNC Predatorloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
TNC Predator
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
Grimstrokesignature
Bombi · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 12 games
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 11 games
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 10 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
670 picks · 521 bans
Marci
471 picks · 715 bans
Dawnbreaker
454 picks · 616 bans
Puck
443 picks · 904 bans
Winter Wyvern
345 picks · 417 bans
Zeus
299 picks · 392 bans
Razor
280 picks · 509 bans
Death Prophet
278 picks · 460 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 36%
Hero pool strength54% TNC Predator
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% Lilgun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:56
Lilgun 56%TNC Predator 44%
The model gave 56% on Lilgun — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 59:15.
Game 2prediction missed38:13
Lilgun 56%TNC Predator 44%
The model gave 56% on Lilgun — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 27:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilgun · 56%
Accuracy by game0 of 2