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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 23 games
65%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 16 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
73%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 14 games
36%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 14 games
43%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 13 games
69%

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tiny
NARMAN · 16 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Varizh · 11 games
45%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Azur4 · 9 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 7 games
43%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 7 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Azur4 · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
667 picks · 524 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
471 picks · 716 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
454 picks · 620 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 907 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
348 picks · 416 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
300 picks · 392 bans
45%
Razor
Razor
280 picks · 511 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
278 picks · 455 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 47%
Hero pool strength53% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:18
BOOM Esports 57%Army Geniuses 43%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 34:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
46% · 64 games45% · 45 games
Shadow FiendinYourdreaM
Shadow Fiend
Pangolier
PangolierFbz
54% · 91 game50% · 22 games
BroodmotherwoMy
Broodmother
Batrider
BatriderYopaj
48% · 61 gamelittle data
Bounty Hunterdb-
Bounty Hunter
Chen
ChenSkem
51% · 29 games48% · 77 games
GyrocopterVarizh
Gyrocopter
Hoodwink
HoodwinkTims
50% · 45 games56% · 146 games
Faceless VoidNARMAN
Faceless Void
Game 2prediction missed40:39
BOOM Esports 56%Army Geniuses 44%
The model gave 56% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 44:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistJaCkky
52% · 76 games43% · 191 game
Morphlingdb-
Morphling
Batrider
BatriderYopaj
53% · 159 games47% · 371 game
PangolierwoMy
Pangolier
Mars
MarsFbz
51% · 410 games52% · 501 game
TinyinYourdreaM
Tiny
Snapfire
SnapfireTims
51% · 293 games47% · 111 games
GyrocopterVarizh
Gyrocopter
Bane
BaneSkem
57% · 346 games48% · 110 games
Earth SpiritNARMAN
Earth Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2