BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 8 games
Monkey Kingsignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Benjaz · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 4 games
Rubick
d1smar · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
Benjaz · 4 games
Bane
Cara · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
668 picks · 525 bans
Marci
472 picks · 720 bans
Dawnbreaker
460 picks · 619 bans
Puck
446 picks · 912 bans
Winter Wyvern
348 picks · 417 bans
Zeus
300 picks · 392 bans
Razor
280 picks · 510 bans
Death Prophet
277 picks · 455 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 55%
Hero pool strength59% Ravens
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:25
SG e-sports 42%Ravens 58%
The model gave 58% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 44:32.
Game 2prediction correct7:20
SG e-sports 42%Ravens 58%
The model gave 58% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 31:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 58%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2