BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
No Runesloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wolf Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
669 picks · 524 bans
Marci
471 picks · 722 bans
Dawnbreaker
462 picks · 620 bans
Puck
446 picks · 914 bans
Winter Wyvern
349 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
301 picks · 392 bans
Razor
282 picks · 511 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 455 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 39%
Hero pool strength50% No Runes
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:61
No Runes 42%Wolf Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 1:07:22.
Game 2prediction correct21:46
No Runes 42%Wolf Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 22:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 58%
Series resultWolf Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2