BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC Predatorloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
TNC Predator
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
Grimstrokesignature
Bombi · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 12 games
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 12 games
Death Prophetoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 11 games
Tiny
YoungGodLevi · 11 games
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
669 picks · 527 bans
Marci
473 picks · 721 bans
Dawnbreaker
472 picks · 620 bans
Puck
448 picks · 924 bans
Winter Wyvern
354 picks · 421 bans
Zeus
307 picks · 395 bans
Razor
284 picks · 515 bans
Death Prophet
274 picks · 447 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% TNC Predator
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:11
Fnatic 77%TNC Predator 23%
The model gave 77% on Fnatic — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 30:41.
Game 2prediction missed23:25
Fnatic 77%TNC Predator 23%
The model gave 77% on Fnatic — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 33:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 77%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2