BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTThrivingloss 1:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Cloud Dawningwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thriving
Dragon Knightoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 1 game
Drow Ranger
RA1NCLOUD · 1 game
Luna
RA1NCLOUD · 1 game
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 33%
Hero pool strength60% Cloud Dawning
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Thriving
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Thriving 63%Cloud Dawning 37%
The model gave 63% on Thriving — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning.
Game 2prediction correct
Thriving 63%Cloud Dawning 37%
The model gave 63% on Thriving — the game was taken by Thriving.
Game 3prediction missed
Thriving 63%Cloud Dawning 37%
The model gave 63% on Thriving — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning.
Model check result
Model favoriteThriving · 63%
Series resultCloud Dawning 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3