BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDirebornloss 1:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:2
KKukuysV3win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Direborn
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Juju · 2 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
Pugna
db- · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
KukuysV3
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% KukuysV3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% KukuysV3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Direborn 22%KukuysV3 78%
The model gave 78% on KukuysV3 — the game was taken by Direborn.
Game 2prediction correct
Direborn 22%KukuysV3 78%
The model gave 78% on KukuysV3 — the game was taken by KukuysV3.
Game 3prediction correct
Direborn 22%KukuysV3 78%
The model gave 78% on KukuysV3 — the game was taken by KukuysV3.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuysV3 · 78%
Series resultKukuysV3 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3