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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivorywin 2:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PlayTimeloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Dric~ · 10 games
30%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Teehee · 9 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 8 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 7 games
29%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 6 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 6 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 6 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ken · 5 games
40%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 10 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 7 games
57%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Gabbi · 7 games
86%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Armel · 6 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Kuku · 5 games
60%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Gabbi · 5 games
80%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kuku · 5 games
60%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 53%
Hero pool strength57% PlayTime
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% PlayTime
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ivory 42%PlayTime 58%
The model gave 58% on PlayTime — the game was taken by Ivory.
Game 2prediction correct
Ivory 42%PlayTime 58%
The model gave 58% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime.
Game 3prediction missed
Ivory 42%PlayTime 58%
The model gave 58% on PlayTime — the game was taken by Ivory.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayTime · 58%
Series resultIvory 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3