Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EZ KATKAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 19 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 17 games
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 17 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
EZ KATKA
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wuiter · 9 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Rvze · 9 games
Tiny
Lefitan · 9 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 7 games
Marcioften banned
Lefitan · 6 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Lukas · 6 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Wuiter · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
719 picks · 570 bans
Puck
497 picks · 1024 bans
Dawnbreaker
492 picks · 655 bans
Marci
479 picks · 809 bans
Winter Wyvern
371 picks · 425 bans
Snapfire
331 picks · 162 bans
Zeus
328 picks · 391 bans
Razor
302 picks · 581 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:27
cybercats 59%EZ KATKA 41%
The model gave 59% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 32:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerShigetsu
Phantom AssassinLukas
Shadow FiendEgor
Death ProphetBlizzy
TidehunterDkFogas
Queen of PainRvze
MarciFezor
ClockwerkLefitan
Ogre MagiHduo
Game 2prediction correct36:32
cybercats 58%EZ KATKA 42%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 42:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith KingShigetsu
Faceless VoidLukas
LinaEgor
DawnbreakerBlizzy
VenomancerDkFogas
Shadow FiendRvze
MarciFezor
EnchantressLefitan
UndyingHduo
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 68%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2