Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MooN teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 19 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 17 games
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 17 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
721 picks · 573 bans
Puck
503 picks · 1021 bans
Dawnbreaker
493 picks · 653 bans
Marci
479 picks · 812 bans
Winter Wyvern
374 picks · 421 bans
Snapfire
331 picks · 163 bans
Zeus
326 picks · 392 bans
Razor
304 picks · 584 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% cybercats
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total68% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:27
cybercats 68%MooN team 32%
The model gave 68% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 32:45.
Game 2prediction correct16:26
cybercats 68%MooN team 32%
The model gave 68% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 31:49.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 68%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2