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PREMIER SERIES: Play-In · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Power Rangerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 55 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 45 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 41 game
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 31 game
58%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kidaro · 30 games
57%

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 23 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 19 games
68%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 14 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
675 picks · 845 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
575 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
500 picks · 426 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
479 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1134 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 685 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total67% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 33%Power Rangers 67%
The model gave 67% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Game 2prediction correct
Rune Eaters 33%Power Rangers 67%
The model gave 67% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 67%
Series resultPower Rangers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2