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The International 2022. Региональные отборочные · BO5
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:3
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:3
BETBOOM TEAMwin 3:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Marci
Marcisignature
yamich · 22 games
82%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
DM · 18 games
72%
Tiny
Tinysignature
yamich · 18 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Xakoda · 17 games
71%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Xakoda · 15 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
73%
Bane
Banesignature
Xakoda · 13 games
77%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
734 picks · 573 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
508 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
485 picks · 644 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
460 picks · 804 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
376 picks · 418 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 164 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 390 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
307 picks · 588 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 72%
Hero pool strength64% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:22
Virtus.pro 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:47.
Game 2prediction correct34:20
Virtus.pro 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:51.
Game 3prediction correct11:23
Virtus.pro 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3