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The International 2022. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%

One Move

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 33 games
64%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 30 games
83%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 30 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 30 games
73%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 22 games
73%
Tiny
Tiny
Smiling Knight · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 18 games
94%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Panto · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
736 picks · 571 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
509 picks · 1032 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
485 picks · 641 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
455 picks · 801 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
375 picks · 417 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 164 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 390 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
309 picks · 590 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 57%
Hero pool strength65% One Move
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:3
BETBOOM TEAM 62%One Move 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:08.
Game 2prediction correct28:15
BETBOOM TEAM 62%One Move 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2