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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
EZ KATKAloss 1:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
cybercatswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EZ KATKA

Tiny
Tiny
Lefitan · 9 games
44%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Lefitan · 7 games
57%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 7 games
43%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Rvze · 7 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Lukas · 6 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
33%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Wuiter · 5 games
60%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Lefitan · 5 games
20%

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 34 games
53%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 18 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
72%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 17 games
65%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 17 games
82%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
736 picks · 570 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
508 picks · 1032 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
485 picks · 641 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
454 picks · 801 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
375 picks · 417 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 164 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 390 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
309 picks · 589 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 64%
Hero pool strength56% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
EZ KATKA 35%cybercats 65%
The model gave 65% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Game 2prediction missed
EZ KATKA 35%cybercats 65%
The model gave 65% on cybercats — the game was taken by EZ KATKA.
Game 3prediction correct
EZ KATKA 35%cybercats 65%
The model gave 65% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 65%
Series resultcybercats 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3