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The International 2022. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
43%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 6 games
67%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
60%

Nemiga Gaming

Puck
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 14 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Kiritych · 11 games
45%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 9 games
33%
Sand King
Sand King
TheChosenOne · 9 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
Kiritych · 9 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 8 games
63%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
so bad · 8 games
38%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
so bad · 8 games
88%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
739 picks · 569 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
508 picks · 1037 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
486 picks · 637 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
452 picks · 798 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
376 picks · 416 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 164 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 390 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
308 picks · 591 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 70%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:27
BETBOOM TEAM 75%Nemiga Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:24.
Game 2prediction missed21:23
BETBOOM TEAM 75%Nemiga Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:50.
Game 3prediction correct27:17
BETBOOM TEAM 75%Nemiga Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 75%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3