1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 14 games
Tinysignature
Ari · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Supream^ · 11 games
Void Spiritsignature
Supream^ · 10 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
Hoodwink
Ari · 9 games
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 9 games
Brame
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 17 games
Skywrath Magesignature
dEsire · 16 games
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 15 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 13 games
Tiny
W1sh- · 13 games
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 12 games
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
Sand Kingoften banned
SkyLark · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
725 picks · 566 bans
Puck
516 picks · 1025 bans
Dawnbreaker
473 picks · 624 bans
Marci
435 picks · 779 bans
Winter Wyvern
367 picks · 409 bans
Snapfire
342 picks · 162 bans
Zeus
326 picks · 379 bans
Razor
310 picks · 595 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:28
Into The Breach 57%Brame 43%
The model gave 57% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Brame in 34:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeOtaker
PudgeNande
Queen of PainSupream^
BeastmasterSkyLark
EnigmaXibbe
Death ProphetW1sh-
MarciAri
EnchantressSsaSpartan
DazzleKidaro
Winter WyverndEsire
Game 2prediction missed12:36
Into The Breach 58%Brame 42%
The model gave 58% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Brame in 28:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
InvokerSupream^
DawnbreakerW1sh-
Phantom AssassinOtaker
ClinkzNande
VisageXibbe
Death ProphetSkyLark
MarciAri
UndyingSsaSpartan
Crystal MaidenKidaro
TinydEsire
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 61%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2