Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empire Hopewin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MooN teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire Hope
Pudgesignature
krylat · 8 games
Iosignature
antoha · 6 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
antoha · 6 games
Razoroften banned
Mastery · 5 games
Timbersawoften banned
pJonn · 5 games
Viperoften banned
Mastery · 5 games
Alchemistoften banned
krylat · 4 games
Dazzle
antoha · 4 games
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
731 picks · 564 bans
Puck
523 picks · 1033 bans
Dawnbreaker
472 picks · 626 bans
Marci
435 picks · 778 bans
Winter Wyvern
367 picks · 405 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 164 bans
Zeus
326 picks · 379 bans
Razor
313 picks · 598 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Team Empire Hope
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Empire Hope 62%MooN team 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope.
Game 2prediction correct18:23
Team Empire Hope 62%MooN team 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 29:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire Hope · 62%
Series resultTeam Empire Hope 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2