?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empire Hopewin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HFloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Empire Hope

Pudge
Pudgesignature
krylat · 8 games
88%
Io
Iosignature
antoha · 6 games
83%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
antoha · 6 games
67%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Mastery · 5 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
pJonn · 5 games
60%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Mastery · 5 games
60%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
krylat · 4 games
50%
Dazzle
Dazzle
antoha · 4 games
50%

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 13 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
62%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
737 picks · 565 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
526 picks · 1039 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
471 picks · 624 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
433 picks · 775 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 404 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
343 picks · 175 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
325 picks · 379 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
316 picks · 607 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Empire Hope
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Empire Hope 60%HF 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Empire Hope 60%HF 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire Hope · 60%
Series resultTeam Empire Hope 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2