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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO5
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 3:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 3:2
One Moveloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
43%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 6 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
60%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
40%

One Move

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 31 game
61%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 29 games
83%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 29 games
72%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 28 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 22 games
73%
Tiny
Tiny
Smiling Knight · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 16 games
94%
Io
Iosignature
Panto · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
736 picks · 570 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
525 picks · 1049 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
469 picks · 621 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
432 picks · 775 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 405 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
356 picks · 180 bans
48%
Zeus
Zeus
326 picks · 377 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
324 picks · 616 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 57%
Hero pool strength64% One Move
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:12
BETBOOM TEAM 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:44.
Game 2prediction missed29:30
BETBOOM TEAM 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 51:50.
Game 3prediction missed10:41
BETBOOM TEAM 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 49:55.
Game 4prediction correct28:7
BETBOOM TEAM 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:00.
Game 5prediction correct11:6
BETBOOM TEAM 60%One Move 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 22:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5