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1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
HFloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Bounty Hunterwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 13 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
62%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%

No Bounty Hunter

Dazzle
Dazzle
Flash · 4 games
25%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Flash · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Adzantick · 3 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Shad · 3 games
33%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shad · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kAAN · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
kAAN · 2 games
100%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
kAAN · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
734 picks · 568 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
521 picks · 1050 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
469 picks · 617 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
432 picks · 773 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 405 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
360 picks · 180 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
325 picks · 376 bans
47%
Razor
Razor
324 picks · 616 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:51
HF 51%No Bounty Hunter 49%
The model gave 51% on HF — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 33:51.
Game 2prediction missed20:35
HF 51%No Bounty Hunter 49%
The model gave 51% on HF — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 26:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 51%
Series resultNo Bounty Hunter 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2