Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EZ KATKAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
EZ KATKA
Tiny
Lefitan · 9 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wuiter · 5 games
Marcioften banned
Lefitan · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Lukas · 5 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Wuiter · 5 games
Pudge
Lukas · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
734 picks · 568 bans
Puck
521 picks · 1050 bans
Dawnbreaker
469 picks · 617 bans
Marci
432 picks · 773 bans
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 405 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 180 bans
Zeus
325 picks · 376 bans
Razor
324 picks · 616 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% 11Monkeyz
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% 11Monkeyz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
11Monkeyz 60%EZ KATKA 40%
The model gave 60% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by EZ KATKA.
Game 2prediction missed
11Monkeyz 60%EZ KATKA 40%
The model gave 60% on 11Monkeyz — the game was taken by EZ KATKA.
Model check result
Model favorite11Monkeyz · 60%
Series resultEZ KATKA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2