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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
EZ KATKAloss 1:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:2
YNTwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EZ KATKA

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 6 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
Lefitan · 6 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wuiter · 5 games
40%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Lefitan · 5 games
20%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Lukas · 5 games
20%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Wuiter · 4 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Wuiter · 4 games
50%

YNT

Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
737 picks · 574 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
522 picks · 1060 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
469 picks · 612 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
432 picks · 773 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
368 picks · 405 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
366 picks · 191 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
324 picks · 374 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
322 picks · 626 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:9
EZ KATKA 25%YNT 75%
The model gave 75% on YNT — the game was taken by EZ KATKA in 22:42.
Game 2prediction correct8:23
EZ KATKA 25%YNT 75%
The model gave 75% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 22:46.
Game 3prediction correct27:40
EZ KATKA 25%YNT 75%
The model gave 75% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 44:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 75%
Series resultYNT 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3