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1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 1:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Bounty Hunterwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 7 games
43%

No Bounty Hunter

Dazzle
Dazzle
Flash · 4 games
25%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Flash · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Adzantick · 2 games
0%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Shad · 2 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
kAAN · 1 game
100%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Flash · 1 game
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kAAN · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
ArisE · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
742 picks · 564 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
529 picks · 1061 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
464 picks · 601 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
429 picks · 772 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
373 picks · 200 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
364 picks · 398 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
323 picks · 368 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
320 picks · 627 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:62
YNT 69%No Bounty Hunter 31%
The model gave 69% on YNT — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 56:53.
Game 2prediction missed26:59
YNT 69%No Bounty Hunter 31%
The model gave 69% on YNT — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 40:35.
Game 3prediction missed19:48
YNT 69%No Bounty Hunter 31%
The model gave 69% on YNT — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 34:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 69%
Series resultNo Bounty Hunter 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3