Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
One Move
Miranasignature
sayuw · 30 games
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 30 games
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 29 games
Banesignature
Panto · 22 games
Marssignature
AfterLife · 17 games
Iosignature
Panto · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
sayuw · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
739 picks · 558 bans
Puck
525 picks · 1052 bans
Dawnbreaker
457 picks · 595 bans
Marci
429 picks · 772 bans
Snapfire
371 picks · 198 bans
Winter Wyvern
361 picks · 394 bans
Zeus
322 picks · 368 bans
Razor
317 picks · 625 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 54%
Hero pool strength62% One Move
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total59% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:23
BETBOOM TEAM 59%One Move 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:35.
Game 2prediction correct37:20
BETBOOM TEAM 59%One Move 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 59%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2