ESL One Malaysia 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fnaticwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Marssignature
Fbz · 23 games
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 18 games
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 15 games
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
722 picks · 543 bans
Puck
511 picks · 1024 bans
Dawnbreaker
447 picks · 569 bans
Marci
426 picks · 757 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 194 bans
Winter Wyvern
351 picks · 379 bans
Zeus
316 picks · 361 bans
Razor
309 picks · 614 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 38%
Hero pool strength58% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total76% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:38
BOOM Esports 76%Fnatic 24%
The model gave 76% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Fnatic in 34:52.
Game 2prediction missed29:42
BOOM Esports 76%Fnatic 24%
The model gave 76% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Fnatic in 49:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 76%
Series resultFnatic 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2