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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Anime Enjoyerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 31 game
65%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Max · 16 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 15 games
53%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Max · 15 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 13 games
54%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Max · 13 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 13 games
69%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 12 games
58%

Anime Enjoyers

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
sunset · 1 game
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
sunset · 1 game
0%
Marci
Marcioften banned
sunset · 1 game
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
sunset · 1 game
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
718 picks · 535 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
508 picks · 1014 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
446 picks · 560 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
422 picks · 750 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
363 picks · 192 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
349 picks · 371 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
315 picks · 356 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
300 picks · 609 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% IVY
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:27
IVY 53%Anime Enjoyers 47%
The model gave 53% on IVY — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 32:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidFocus
56% · 34 games51% · 50 games
BristlebackCoblackk
Bristleback
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMo13ei
67% · 42 games44% · 140 games
Clockwerksunset
Clockwerk
Razor
RazorMax
45% · 54 games
Tusk
TuskQupe
45% · 25 games
Dazzle
Dazzlejmn-
53% · 35 games
Game 2prediction missed20:32
IVY 55%Anime Enjoyers 45%
The model gave 55% on IVY — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 41:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautFocus
60% · 24 games41% · 66 games
MorphlingCoblackk
Morphling
Puck
PuckMo13ei
59% · 92 games37% · 137 games
Rubicksunset
Rubick
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMax
64% · 56 games
Earthshaker
EarthshakerQupe
59% · 19 games
Chen
Chenjmn-
65% · 12 games
Model check result
Model favoriteIVY · 58%
Series resultAnime Enjoyers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2