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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
IVYloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 29 games
52%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
53%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
72%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 15 games
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 13 games
62%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
38%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 13 games
85%

IVY

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 31 game
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 15 games
53%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Mo13ei · 14 games
79%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Max · 13 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 13 games
69%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Max · 13 games
46%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 12 games
58%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
718 picks · 526 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
509 picks · 1008 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
438 picks · 556 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
413 picks · 746 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
368 picks · 194 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
345 picks · 364 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
311 picks · 349 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
302 picks · 611 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:9
cybercats 55%IVY 45%
The model gave 55% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 29:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautShigetsu
49% · 103 games55% · 90 games
WeaverLowskill
Weaver
Windranger
WindrangerEgor
54% · 75 games47% · 124 games
ViperMo13ei
Viper
Visage
VisageDkFogas
57% · 45 games49% · 72 games
MiranaQupe
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkFezor
49% · 142 games48% · 86 games
TimbersawMax
Timbersaw
Dazzle
DazzleHduo
45% · 64 games48% · 57 games
Tuskjmn-
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed28:33
cybercats 55%IVY 45%
The model gave 55% on cybercats — the game was taken by IVY in 35:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidShigetsu
54% · 69 games46% · 49 games
AlchemistLowskill
Alchemist
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDkFogas
49% · 54 games43% · 171 game
DawnbreakerMo13ei
Dawnbreaker
Batrider
BatriderEgor
57% · 107 games45% · 104 games
TimbersawMax
Timbersaw
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageFezor
53% · 83 games51% · 61 game
Nyx AssassinQupe
Nyx Assassin
Marci
MarciHduo
53% · 188 games49% · 116 games
Winter Wyvernjmn-
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct30:8
cybercats 53%IVY 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 30:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerShigetsu
54% · 127 games50% · 169 games
Templar AssassinLowskill
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckEgor
48% · 321 game48% · 162 games
Night StalkerMo13ei
Night Stalker
Lycan
LycanDkFogas
61% · 88 games44% · 112 games
ViperMax
Viper
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernFezor
49% · 166 games45% · 225 games
Dawnbreakerjmn-
Dawnbreaker
Dazzle
DazzleHduo
50% · 77 games50% · 111 games
Nyx AssassinQupe
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 57%
Series resultcybercats 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3