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1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzloss 1:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Into The Breachwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

11Monkeyz

No games played over 6 months.

Into The Breach

Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 13 games
85%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Supream^ · 11 games
82%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ari · 11 games
82%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 9 games
78%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 8 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 8 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xibbe · 7 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
716 picks · 526 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
511 picks · 1004 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
436 picks · 552 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
409 picks · 744 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
368 picks · 193 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
345 picks · 358 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
309 picks · 346 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
300 picks · 611 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 74%
Hero pool strength61% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:39
11Monkeyz 32%Into The Breach 68%
The model gave 68% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 30:26.
Game 2prediction correct40:32
11Monkeyz 32%Into The Breach 68%
The model gave 68% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 44:42.
Game 3prediction correct56:41
11Monkeyz 32%Into The Breach 68%
The model gave 68% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 1:02:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 68%
Series resultInto The Breach 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3