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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Empire Hopeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

Team Empire Hope

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Mastery · 3 games
100%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Mastery · 3 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
krylat · 2 games
100%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
krylat · 2 games
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
antoha · 2 games
100%
Pudge
Pudge
krylat · 2 games
100%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Mastery · 2 games
100%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
antoha · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
712 picks · 526 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
512 picks · 998 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
436 picks · 551 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
407 picks · 741 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
368 picks · 193 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
345 picks · 354 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
309 picks · 343 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
299 picks · 609 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 63%
Hero pool strength63% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Team Empire Hope
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:10
YNT 42%Team Empire Hope 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 29:43.
Game 2prediction correct23:39
YNT 42%Team Empire Hope 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 35:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire Hope · 58%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2