Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MSMeme Squadloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Meme Squad
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
710 picks · 524 bans
Puck
515 picks · 993 bans
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 547 bans
Marci
403 picks · 734 bans
Snapfire
373 picks · 194 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 349 bans
Zeus
305 picks · 341 bans
Razor
298 picks · 610 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Meme Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:7
BETBOOM TEAM 91%Meme Squad 9%
The model gave 91% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:20.
Game 2prediction correct25:22
BETBOOM TEAM 91%Meme Squad 9%
The model gave 91% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 91%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2