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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO5
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 3:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Polaris Esportsloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 23 games
61%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 21 game
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
72%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 18 games
78%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
64%

Polaris Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nevermine · 19 games
68%
Tiny
Tiny
Boomy · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nevermine · 17 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Boomy · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boomy · 12 games
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Mac · 11 games
64%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Natsumi · 11 games
73%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Natsumi · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
710 picks · 524 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
515 picks · 993 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 547 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
403 picks · 734 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
373 picks · 194 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 349 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
305 picks · 341 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
298 picks · 610 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 46%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total75% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BOOM Esports 75%Polaris Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
BOOM Esports 75%Polaris Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Game 3prediction correct
BOOM Esports 75%Polaris Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Game 4prediction missed
BOOM Esports 75%Polaris Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Game 5prediction correct
BOOM Esports 75%Polaris Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 75%
Series resultBOOM Esports 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5