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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RSGloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 23 games
61%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 21 game
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
72%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 18 games
78%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
64%

RSG

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
711 picks · 524 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
513 picks · 995 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 545 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
402 picks · 733 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
373 picks · 196 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
341 picks · 349 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
304 picks · 341 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
297 picks · 609 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BOOM Esports 83%RSG 17%
The model gave 83% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by RSG.
Game 2prediction correct
BOOM Esports 83%RSG 17%
The model gave 83% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Game 3prediction correct
BOOM Esports 83%RSG 17%
The model gave 83% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 83%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3