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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1w Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 34 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 21 game
62%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 21 game
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 20 games
70%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
not me · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 14 games
71%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yatoro · 14 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
rue · 13 games
85%

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 40 games
48%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Whitemon · 22 games
55%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 19 games
47%
Bristleback
Bristleback
мистер мораль · 18 games
56%
Kez
Kezsignature
Pure~ · 18 games
72%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
511 picks · 302 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
411 picks · 173 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
382 picks · 173 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 500 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
320 picks · 288 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 313 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
294 picks · 496 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
279 picks · 354 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total67% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:28
Team Spirit 58%1w Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkYatoro
62% · 78 games40% · 65 games
Nature's ProphetPure~
Nature's Prophet
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBatyuk
48% · 192 games49% · 167 games
Centaur Warrunner33
Centaur Warrunner
Sand King
Sand KingLarl
56% · 122 games55% · 240 games
Ember Spiritbzm
Ember Spirit
Techies
Techiesrue
44% · 165 games44% · 131 game
Dark WillowAri
Dark Willow
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunternot me
54% · 90 games52% · 44 games
DazzleWhitemon
Dazzle
Game 2prediction correct36:9
Team Spirit 60%1w Team 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 21:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYatoro
46% · 179 games51% · 168 games
Dark Seer33
Dark Seer
Lycan
LycanBatyuk
42% · 99 games53% · 244 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritLarl
51% · 173 games54% · 170 games
Linabzm
Lina
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkrue
50% · 563 games52% · 308 games
BaneWhitemon
Bane
Dark Willow
Dark Willownot me
49% · 293 games51% · 417 games
TuskAri
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 67%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2