?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 28 games
43%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Speeed · 25 games
68%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Speeed · 21 game
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 19 games
37%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
RCY · 16 games
44%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Fayde · 15 games
40%
Kez
Kezsignature
RCY · 15 games
60%

Yakult Brothers

Lion
Lionsignature
Kaka · 20 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Kaka · 19 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
Emo · 15 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Emo · 13 games
69%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Setsu · 12 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
lou · 11 games
64%
Mirana
Miranasignature
天命 · 10 games
70%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
BEYOND · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
516 picks · 307 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
417 picks · 180 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
383 picks · 174 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 503 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
323 picks · 293 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
315 picks · 312 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 499 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
276 picks · 148 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total63% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:14
GamerLegion 57%Yakult Brothers 43%
The model gave 57% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 36:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerYuma
50% · 575 games51% · 317 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Enigma
EnigmaFayde
61% · 129 games45% · 417 games
Tinylou
Tiny
Pangolier
PangolierRCY
50% · 581 game39% · 225 games
UnderlordBEYOND
Underlord
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
48% · 391 game48% · 285 games
RubickKaka
Rubick
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSpeeed
54% · 258 games54% · 690 games
Hoodwink天命
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct0:0
GamerLegion 54%Yakult Brothers 46%
The model gave 54% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 51:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenYuma
43% · 64 games57% · 39 games
Necrophoslou
Necrophos
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerRCY
37% · 16 games58% · 52 games
BrewmasterBEYOND
Brewmaster
Death Prophet
Death ProphetFayde
37% · 24 games61% · 139 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Silencer
SilencerSpeeed
45% · 94 games62% · 113 games
Winter Wyvern天命
Winter Wyvern
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
42% · 211 games52% · 66 games
LionKaka
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 63%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2