Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empire Hopewin 2:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire Hope
Beastmasteroften banned
Mastery · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
krylat · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Mastery · 2 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
antoha · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Mastery · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Chenoften banned
antoha · 1 game
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 29 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 15 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 13 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
Puckoften banned
Egor · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
711 picks · 525 bans
Puck
514 picks · 999 bans
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 544 bans
Marci
399 picks · 732 bans
Snapfire
376 picks · 197 bans
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 347 bans
Zeus
304 picks · 341 bans
Razor
297 picks · 609 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength57% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed47:14
Team Empire Hope 41%cybercats 59%
The model gave 59% on cybercats — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 29:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudgekrylat
Phantom AssassinShigetsu
RazorMastery
VisageDkFogas
Omniknightantoha
Queen of PainEgor
45% · 63 games
MarciHduo
48% · 42 games
Skywrath MageFezor
Game 2prediction missed36:14
Team Empire Hope 42%cybercats 58%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 25:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemistkrylat
Templar AssassinShigetsu
RazorMastery
EnigmaDkFogas
Dazzleantoha
InvokerEgor
56% · 85 games
Winter WyvernFezor
51% · 110 games
MarciHduo
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 64%
Series resultTeam Empire Hope 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2